Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.167581 0.194219 0.223729 0.258846 0.299509 0.345129 0.400220
2025-07-13 0.130165 0.166974 0.212032 0.271271 0.347175 0.441274 0.566986
2025-07-20 0.109326 0.150412 0.204292 0.280179 0.384462 0.522989 0.721469
2025-07-27 0.095047 0.138452 0.198663 0.288372 0.418903 0.602371 0.880741
2025-08-03 0.082810 0.126735 0.190702 0.290763 0.443751 0.669565 1.029646
2025-08-10 0.071796 0.114834 0.180288 0.287234 0.458151 0.721713 1.161111
2025-08-17 0.061652 0.102652 0.167521 0.277801 0.461310 0.755813 1.267152
2025-08-24 0.056467 0.097594 0.165096 0.284165 0.489882 0.832510 1.450336
2025-08-31 0.051120 0.091485 0.160046 0.285225 0.509222 0.895467 1.617023
2025-09-07 0.047011 0.086938 0.156983 0.289098 0.533464 0.968853 1.809847
2025-09-14 0.042018 0.080154 0.149129 0.283285 0.539319 1.009843 1.947899
2025-09-21 0.038164 0.074989 0.143559 0.280901 0.550969 1.062175 2.112602
2025-09-28 0.035149 0.071142 0.140150 0.282496 0.570921 1.133313 2.324504
2025-10-05 0.033792 0.070412 0.142657 0.296038 0.616094 1.258576 2.660505
2025-10-12 0.032131 0.068844 0.143284 0.305764 0.654511 1.374416 2.990857
2025-10-19 0.030536 0.067208 0.143556 0.314709 0.692209 1.492751 3.340561
2025-10-26 0.028512 0.064398 0.141036 0.317320 0.716475 1.585218 3.644572
2025-11-02 0.026152 0.060562 0.135874 0.313466 0.725903 1.646361 3.885185
2025-11-09 0.023544 0.055852 0.128264 0.303167 0.719432 1.671244 4.044692
2025-11-16 0.022446 0.054524 0.128116 0.310115 0.753823 1.792868 4.448066
2025-11-23 0.021043 0.052304 0.125659 0.311273 0.774484 1.884586 4.789587
2025-11-30 0.019955 0.050724 0.124529 0.315502 0.803066 1.998205 5.199139
2025-12-07 0.018333 0.047621 0.119390 0.309155 0.804448 2.045381 5.444572